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Preventive Veterinary Medicine

Elsevier BV

Preprints posted in the last 90 days, ranked by how well they match Preventive Veterinary Medicine's content profile, based on 14 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.02% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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Participatory Systems Mapping and Experimental Games to Explore Biosecurity Adoption in Broiler Production in Bangladesh

Khalil, I.; Alam, M. N.; Hossain, S.; Arafat, M. Y.; Rahman, M. H.; Anower, A. K. M. M.

2026-03-23 microbiology 10.64898/2026.03.20.712586 medRxiv
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IntroductionAntimicrobial Resistance (AMR) presents a critical public health challenge, particularly in smallholder broiler farming, where antibiotics are often used preventively in the absence of effective biosecurity measures. ObjectiveThis study investigates the adoption of biosecurity practices as a sustainable alternative to antibiotics through Participatory Systems Mapping and Experimental Games. MethodsA participatory mixed-methods study was conducted in southern Bangladesh (September 2024-June 2025). Causal Loop Diagrams (CLDs) were co-created with farmers, dealers, and veterinary officers. Ten broiler farmers from single village were selected via purposive and snowball sampling. Experimental games simulated four production cycles where farmers chose Option A (biosecurity, adopters) or Option B (antibiotics, non-adopters) after several interactive trainings. Key metrics including biosecurity compliance (0-12 scale), mortality, FCR, antibiotic use, outbreak history, and economic outcomes were recorded. ResultsCLD analysis revealed a reinforcing loop of increased antibiotic reliance driven by fear of mortality, and balancing loops involving training, biosecurity practices, and consumer incentives to reduce use. Five farmers chose Option A, and both groups remained stable until Round 4. Adopters had flock sizes of 800-2000 birds (non-adopters, 600-1000; mean for both = 1000), were younger, and more educated compared to non-adopters. At baseline, both groups had similar biosecurity scores (0). Adopters had higher mean outbreaks (2 vs. 1.4), mortality (5.6 vs. 4.2), antibiotic use (3.6 vs. 3), and FCR (1.8 vs. 1.6) compared to non-adopters. By Round 4, adopters improved biosecurity scores by 125%, eliminated outbreaks, reduced mortality by 52.6%, stopped antibiotic use, improved FCR by 13.3%, and gained 71.72% profit per bird compared to non-adopters. Non-adopters, influenced by adopters, increased biosecurity scores by 25%, reducing outbreaks, mortality, antibiotic use, and FCR. Adopters also increased direct sales to consumers, yielding a 10%-16% profit gain per bird each round. ConclusionThis study highlights the successful adoption of biosecurity practices by farmers, replacing antibiotics and improving production outcomes. Farmer-driven adoption of these practices fosters long-term sustainability and supports a healthier planet within the One Health framework.

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Sampling design and inference of the caecal-skin Campylobacter relationship in broilers

Mason, C.; Nunney, E.; Guitian, J.

2026-05-04 microbiology 10.64898/2026.05.03.722495 medRxiv
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The relationship between Campylobacter levels in broiler caeca and on carcass skin is central to quantitative microbial risk assessment along the poultry production chain, underpinning modelling of intervention impacts, including EFSA assessments of the public health impact of control measures. However, this relationship is typically inferred from monitoring data generated under sampling designs that do not preserve pairing between specimens and may involve pooling. In this study, we used a simulation framework to evaluate whether commonly used sampling strategies allow reliable recovery of the caecal-skin relationship. A simulated broiler population was generated, assigning caecal and skin loads to individual birds based on a specified linear relationship. Sampling was conducted under paired and unpaired designs, with and without pooling, reflecting approaches used in surveillance programmes and in policy-oriented models. Regression models were fitted to sampled data across 1,000 simulations for a range of assumed slopes. Under paired sampling, estimated slopes closely matched the true relationship across most scenarios. In contrast, unpaired sampling consistently failed to recover the association, with estimated slopes centred around zero regardless of the true slope. These findings were robust to variation in within-flock prevalence, residual error, and intercept. The results show that sampling design fundamentally affects identifiability of relationships between stages of the production chain. This has implications for interpretation of parameters derived from monitoring data and used in quantitative Campylobacter risk assessments informing policy. Parameters derived from unpaired and pooled monitoring data should therefore be interpreted with caution when used to support risk assessment and decision-making. Campylobacter; broiler chickens; sampling strategy; unpaired sampling; carcass contamination; quantitative microbial risk assessment; simulation.

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Internal and External Protective Factors Associated with the Secondary Traumatic Stress Component of Compassion Fatigue in Feral Cat Caregivers

Costa-Santos, C.; Vidal, R.; Lisboa, S.; Vieira-de-Castro, P.; Monteiro, A.; Duarte, I.

2026-03-06 occupational and environmental health 10.64898/2026.03.05.26347725 medRxiv
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Compassion fatigue is a well-documented hazard among healthcare and veterinary professionals, yet the psychological toll on informal caregivers of feral cat colonies, likely numbering several tens of thousands in Portugal, remains largely unexplored. This cross-sectional study examines internal and external factors associated with the secondary traumatic stress component of compassion fatigue among 172 informal caregivers in Portugal. Secondary traumatic stress refers to work-related secondary exposure to individuals who have experienced extremely stressful or traumatic events. Structured telephone interviews assessed sociodemographics, colony management, compassion satisfaction, resilience, spiritual well-being, and perceived social support. Univariate and multivariable linear regression identified predictors of secondary traumatic stress. Results indicate that 47% of participants experienced moderate secondary traumatic stress, and 10% reported high levels. Multivariable analysis revealed that caring for large colonies (more than 25 cats) and being unemployed were significantly associated with higher fatigue. Conversely, older age, higher perceived family support, and the resilience dimension of serenity served as protective factors. Interestingly, finding meaning in life was positively correlated with fatigue, suggesting that caregivers who perceive their role as central to their life purpose may become more emotionally invested, increasing vulnerability to distress when unable to help animals. Official colony registration and formal institutional support did not significantly alleviate fatigue. These findings highlight that institutional support alone is insufficient to mitigate fatigue among informal caregivers, who experience significant distress driven by both practical burdens and profound emotional involvement. The most frequently reported concern among caregivers was the inability to cover the costs of feeding and veterinary care for the cats. Interventions must address both external needs (e.g., support to cover veterinary and feeding expenses for the cats) and internal coping mechanisms. Implementing psychosocial support alongside trap-neuter-return programs may also improve caregiver well-being and foster sustainable urban feral cat management. This underscores a One Health perspective, demonstrating that animal health is closely interconnected with human well-being and environmental health.

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Alpha-gal Syndrome Symptom Profiles and Diagnostic Experiences Among Farmer and Ranchers

Welch, A. M.; Beseler, C. L.; Cross, S. T.

2026-04-16 occupational and environmental health 10.64898/2026.04.14.26349898 medRxiv
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PurposeAlpha-gal syndrome (AGS) is an emerging health issue. This syndrome, caused by the bites of ticks, induces allergic reactions to the sugar molecule galactose--1,3-galactose after exposure to non-primate mammalian meat and other byproducts. Agricultural workers spend significant time outdoors placing them at an increased risk for tick bites and tick-borne diseases, like AGS. This study aimed to characterize farmers and ranchers prior knowledge, symptomology, and diagnostic experiences with AGS. MethodsWe conducted a cross-sectional survey of more than 200 farmers and ranchers with a self-reported AGS diagnosis. The survey captured farmers and ranchers experiences related to prior knowledge and experience with tick bites and AGS, reported symptoms, and obtaining a diagnosis. FindingsA total of 201 respondents across 26 states participated in the survey, with the majority from Missouri and Oklahoma. We identified four distinct symptom clusters, with the most reported symptoms being abdominal cramping, diarrhea, itchy skin, and nausea. Women more often reported gastrointestinal discomfort, and men were more likely to be in the mild symptom category. On average, participants reported 2.98 medical provider visits before receiving a diagnosis, most being diagnosed by general practitioners and allergists. ConclusionsNo previous studies have focused on the symptom and diagnostic experiences of farmers and ranchers with AGS. Capturing such data is essential as these workers may experience unique occupational challenges following AGS diagnosis. The diagnostic experience data support a continuing need to educate and empower AGS patients and providers, especially agricultural workers and providers serving rural communities.

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Mapping high rate clusters of animal contact related human Salmonella enterica single state outbreaks in the United States, 2009 to 2022. A spatial epidemiological approach to inform public health surveillance

Bajwa, H. U. R.; Bhowmick, S.; Varga, C.

2026-04-06 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.04.26350168 medRxiv
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Introduction Nontyphoidal Salmonella enterica (NTS) is a major zoonotic enteric pathogen. Animal contact-related NTS outbreaks have increased in the United States of America (U.S.) over the last decade. Geospatial analysis can identify locations with elevated risk of NTS outbreaks where public health authorities can focus their NTS prevention and intervention efforts. Methods We analyzed NTS outbreak data reported from individual states to the Centers for Disease Control via the National Outbreak Reporting System between 2009 and 2022 across the continental contiguous U.S. A geospatial analytical framework that included disease mapping, spatial interpolation, and global and local clustering methods was applied to identify regions with high NTS outbreak rates. Results A total of 104 NTS single-state outbreaks were reported to the National Outbreak Reporting System (NORS) during the study period. The mean annual incidence rate was 0.02 NTS outbreaks per million person-years. The primary animal contact categories associated with these outbreaks were mammals (cattle, pigs, sheep, and horses), birds (backyard chickens, ducklings, and turkeys), and reptiles (turtles and lizards). Exposure settings included farms, fairgrounds, agricultural feed stores, veterinary clinics, dairy/agricultural settings, and residential settings. The local cluster detection methods consistently identified areas with significantly high NTS animal contact-related outbreak rates in the Mountain West, Midwest, and Northeast of the US. Conclusion NTS animal contact-related single-state outbreaks revealed distinct spatial clustering across the United States, with potentially higher risks in the Mountain West, Midwest, and Northeast. Diversity of animal-contact sources and exposure settings depicted complex transmission dynamics of NTS. Focused prevention and control programs in these areas are needed to mitigate the burden of NTS outbreaks.

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Clinical and molecular characterization of an outbreak of leptospirosis in dogs from Los Angeles County, California, USA, 2021

Randolph, M. W.; Nally, J. E.; Yoshimoto, S.; Chow, B.; Wagner, D. M.; Stone, N. E.; Sahl, J. W.; Hamond, C.; LeCount, K.; Stuber, T.; van der Linden, H.; Reagan, K. L.; Schrieber, A.; Sebastian, J.; Sykes, J. E.

2026-03-25 microbiology 10.64898/2026.03.24.706307 medRxiv
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BackgroundIn 2021, the Los Angeles County (LAC) Department of Public Health suspected a leptospirosis outbreak in LAC affecting over 200 client-owned dogs. ObjectiveTo characterize the outbreak and describe microbiologic findings, risk factors, diagnostic test performance, and outcomes in dogs diagnosed with leptospirosis at two specialty practices. MethodsLeptospira culture isolates from four cases were subjected to serotyping and whole genome sequencing (WGS); WGS was also performed on one enriched genome isolate. After the outbreak, data were gathered on 59 cases through record review and compared to the background hospital population (controls, n=15,536). ResultsAll isolates were Leptospira interrogans serovar Canicola, but each was distinct based on WGS. Cases clustered in space and in time. Cases evaluated during the outbreak peak had increased odds of exposure to indoor congregate facilities (ICFs). None of 47 dogs with known leptospirosis vaccination history were completely vaccinated. Leptospira real-time PCR on blood and urine and initial serologic testing using the microscopic agglutination test and point-of-care tests were positive in 15/56 (27%), 49/54 (91%) dogs, 22/29 (76%), and 27/35 (77%) dogs respectively. Fifty-four (92%) of 59 dogs survived to discharge; some remained azotemic. No associated human cases were identified. Conclusions and Clinical ImportanceL. interrogans serovar Canicola was associated with a leptospirosis outbreak in unvaccinated dogs from LAC, which had public health implications given widespread dog ownership rates. Data analysis suggested multiple infection sources, including ICFs. Urine PCR was the most sensitive diagnostic test. Such outbreaks might be prevented through more widespread vaccination.

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Spatiotemporal clustering of highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) H5N1 at the wild waterfowl-poultry interface: Vector-specific spillover risks in the U.S., 2022-2025

Varga, C.

2026-03-07 microbiology 10.64898/2026.03.06.710020 medRxiv
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BackgroundThe emergence of the highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) H5N1 clade 2.3.4.4b in North America, beginning in February 2022, has highlighted the dynamic, unpredictable, and regionally variable risk of infections. Studies are needed to assess the spatiotemporal clustering of HPAI H5 at the interface between wild waterfowl and commercial poultry to better understand and mitigate this risk. MethodsPublicly available data on HPAI H5 detections in wild birds and commercial poultry from January 2022 to January 2026 were analyzed at the county level. Retrospective space-time permutation models were used to identify and scan for clusters with higher than expected detection rates. ResultsA total of 17,091 HPAI H5 detections were reported in wild birds across 1,467 county-level locations. Four species, Mallard (Anas platyrhynchos) (2,848 detections, 16.66%), Canada goose (Branta canadensis) (1,496, 8.75%), Green-winged teal (Anas carolinensis) (1,364, 7.98%), and Snow goose (Anser caerulescens) (1,084, 6.34%), accounted for 39.73% of detections. In commercial poultry, 532 outbreaks in turkey operations, 148 outbreaks in table-egg layer operations, 99 outbreaks in broiler chicken operations, and 89 outbreaks in commercial duck operations were reported, respectively. Several spillover events followed an east-to-west expansion. In early 2022, mallard detections preceded outbreaks in Northeast egg-layer and duck farms, while snow goose detections in the Upper Midwest coincided with turkey farm outbreaks. In the Pacific and Mountain West during summer 2022, detections in Canada geese overlapped with turkey farm outbreaks. A resurgence occurred in the Midwest (2025), with snow and Canada goose detections overlapping severe outbreaks in turkey and layer flocks. Additionally, in the Upper Midwest, Canada goose and mallard detections overlapped with outbreaks in commercial duck farms during fall-winter 2025. ConclusionsThe study findings demonstrate distinct vector-based transmission dynamics of HPAI H5 at the wild waterfowl-poultry interface. Farm biosecurity strategies must adapt to these recurrent, vector-specific risks.

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Genomic epidemiology of ESBL-producing Escherichia coli and Klebsiella pneumoniae across the human-animal-environment interface in peri-urban pig farms in Yaounde, Cameroon

Abomo, G. D.; Bessala, G. C.; Dah, I.; Buckner, M.; Kreft, J.; Bougnom, B.

2026-03-18 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.03.16.26348538 medRxiv
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BackgroundLivestock production systems in peri-urban areas are associated with high levels of interaction between humans, animals, and the environment, which may contribute to the dissemination of antimicrobial resistant bacteria. However, genomic characterization of resistant bacteria in the interconnected systems of humans, animals, and the environment in low- and middle-income countries like Cameroon is very limited. MethodsThis study was undertaken to investigate the ESBL-producing E. coli and K. pneumoniae in the peri-urban pig production systems in Yaounde, Cameroon, through the application of the One Health genomic approach. A total of 338 samples were collected from humans, pigs, and the environment. Enterobacterales were isolated using standard microbiological procedures, followed by antimicrobial susceptibility testing of the isolated bacteria using the Kirby-Bauer disk diffusion method based on the EUCAST breakpoints. Ten multidrug-resistant Enterobacterales with similar resistance profiles were sequenced to identify their sequence types, resistance determinants, plasmid replicons, and virulence determinants. ResultsEnterobacterales were found in 187 samples, comprising 38 human, 98 pig, and 51 environmental samples. E. coli (166 isolates) was the most prevalent species, followed by K. pneumoniae (100 isolates). Whole-genome sequencing revealed eight E. coli and two K. quasipneumoniae isolates from human, pig, wastewater, and farm environmental samples. The E. coli isolates represented seven sequence types, including the globally successful ST410 lineage. Notably, E. coli ST3580 was found in human and environmental samples from the Afanoyoa farm in different sampling months, while K. quasipneumoniae ST1535 was found in human and pig samples from the Etoudi farm in different months. All genomes encoded ESBL genes, with blaCTX-M-15 being the most prevalent, accompanied by other resistance genes to various antibiotic classes and several plasmid incompatibility groups. ConclusionsThese results show the circulation of genetically diverse ESBL-producing E. coli and K. pneumoniae in human, animal, and environmental reservoirs in peri-urban pig farming systems and the potential for cross-reservoir persistence of particular lineages. Improved One Health antimicrobial resistance surveillance and stewardship are critical to address antimicrobial resistance in rapidly urbanizing environments.

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Genomic epidemiology of the 2017-2023 outbreak of Mycoplasma bovis sequence type ST21 in New Zealand

French, N. P.; Burroughs, A.; Binney, B.; Bloomfield, S.; Firestone, S. M.; Foxwell, J.; Gias, E.; Sawford, K.; van Andel, M.; Welch, D.; Biggs, P. J.

2026-04-10 genomics 10.64898/2026.04.07.717125 medRxiv
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Mycoplasma bovis was first detected in cattle in New Zealand in 2017, prompting an eradication programme that incorporated extensive surveillance and a test-and-cull policy. Genome sequence data and phylodynamic models were used to inform decision making throughout the eradication programme. Isolates from 697 cattle on 126 farms were collected and sequenced between July 2017 and December 2023. Phylodynamic models were used to estimate the time of most recent common ancestor, the effective reproduction number (Reff) and effective population size, and long-range and local between-farm transmission dynamics. The analysis revealed the dramatic impact of movement restrictions and culling up to early 2020, with a sharp reduction in the Reff to less than 1 in 2018/9 and the extinction of two of three major lineages in 2020. This was followed by three-years of residual infection in farms in the South Island, associated with persistent infection of a large feedlot farm and nearby farms. The comprehensive dataset of genomic and epidemiological data provided a unique opportunity to study the dynamics of a country-wide outbreak of a single-host pathogen from first detection to potential eradication, underlining the utility of integrated genomic surveillance during an outbreak response. Author summaryThe economically important cattle pathogen, Mycoplasma bovis, was first detected in New Zealand in 2017. This led to a large-scale, successful control programme aimed at eradication of the pathogen. The decision to undertake an eradication programme was informed by initial analyses of whole genome sequences from isolates collected as part of the surveillance programme. The analysis showed that the bacteria had entered New Zealand relatively recently and was unlikely to be widespread. Over the subsequent years, genome sequencing and modelling of transmission dynamics informed important policy decisions made by the New Zealand Government and the cattle industry, and helped to monitor progress of the eradication programme. The impact of the detection, movement control and culling programme was profound, with sharp reductions in transmission between 2018 and 2020. This was followed by a long tail of localised infection in the South Island, involving transmission from a large feedlot farm. Provisional eradication was achieved after depopulation of this feedlot. This analysis highlights the role of genomic surveillance and modelling to inform decision making during an infectious disease outbreak.

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Bacteroidales on Harvesters: Baseline Prevalence and Abundance

Kaur, S.; Wang, J.; Kayabasi, A.; Rath, I.; Benschikovski, I.; Raut, B.; Ra, K.; Verma, M. S.

2026-05-15 bioengineering 10.64898/2026.05.12.724369 medRxiv
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Fresh produce encounters pathogens at various stages of production and supply, with the harvesting process serving as one of these stages. To evaluate contamination associated with harvesting, we systematically swabbed zone 1 harvester surfaces and quantified Bacteroidales as a fecal biomarker using quantitative polymerase chain reaction (qPCR). Baseline contamination was dominated by non-detects, with occasional low-level detections (<25 copies/cm2) near the assay limit of detection (LoD). Detection occurred more frequently post-harvest (overall [~]4% pre-harvest and 10% post-harvest), while microbial loads remained low, indicating that harvesting primarily affected the likelihood of low-level contamination rather than increasing contamination abundance. Additionally, we developed and field-deployed a portable loop- mediated isothermal amplification (LAMP) assay for rapid harvester hygiene assessment and benchmarked its field performance against qPCR. Together, these results support a practical molecular tool for monitoring fecal contamination and informing cleaning and sanitization decisions.

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Timing the regional spread of PRRSV-2 variants across the United States

Herrera da Silva, J. P.; Paploski, I.; Kikutu, M.; Pamornchainavakul, N.; Corzo, C.; VanderWaal, K.

2026-03-13 ecology 10.64898/2026.03.12.711334 medRxiv
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Porcine Reproductive and Respiratory Syndrome Virus 2 (PRRSV-2) represents a major threat to the global swine industry. The epidemiological dynamics of PRRSV-2 are characterized by the recurrent annual emergence of dozens of variants. Long-distance spread of PRRSV-2 is largely driven by animal shipments. Spatiotemporal dynamics of PRRSV-2 in the USA have been explored; however, how fast variants spread to new regions after their emergence remains unclear, and this information could improve preparedness. To address this, we analyzed 14,835 sequences, retrieved from the Morrison Swine Health Monitoring Project (MSHMP), representing 156 variants sampled from 2015 to 2024, covering the five major swine-producing regions in the USA: the Upper Midwest (UM), Lower Midwest (LM), Atlantic Seaboard (AS), Northeast (NE), and Great Plains (GP). Time to spread was assessed using the time-to-dispersal event analysis and waiting time analyses. Genetic diversity was measured using Hill numbers. The UM had the highest variant richness (n=123), followed by the LM (n=47), AS (n=35), NE (n=45), and GP (n=38). Of the 62 variants that initially emerged in the UM, 17 later spread to other regions. The UM also received the highest number of variant introductions (n=24), followed by LM (n=14), NE (n=14), AS (n=4), and GP (n=7), highlighting regional differences in connectivity and risk. Our results suggest faster dispersal corridors among interior regions (e.g., GP to UM and LM to UM, [~]1.2-2.0 years) and slower for coast to interior pathways (AS to interior, [~]2-3 years). These findings may help anticipate the risk of PRRSV-2 variant introduction and provide more accurate dispersal time estimates, which are useful for improving epidemiological models and disease preparedness.

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Prevalence of Mycoplasmopsis agassizii across wild and captive Mediterranean tortoises

Canos-Burguete, M.; Gimenez, A.; Martinez-Silvestre, A.; Budo, J.; Marschang, R. E.; Sanchez-Ferreiro, B.; Rodriguez-Caro, R.; Gracia, E.

2026-03-12 ecology 10.64898/2026.03.11.710774 medRxiv
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Mycoplasmopsis [Mycoplasma] agassizii is one of the principal pathogens associated with upper respiratory tract disease (URTD) in tortoises, yet its epidemiology in European wild chelonian populations remains poorly understood. The pathogen has been linked to population declines in some wild tortoise populations and is frequently detected in captive tortoises, where infections may persist subclinically and prolonged contact can facilitate transmission. In this context, the pet trade and the release or escape of captive individuals represent potential pathways for pathogen exchange between captive and wild populations. We assessed the presence and prevalence of M. agassizii in wild Mediterranean tortoises in Spain and compared infection patterns with captive populations. A total of 259 tortoises were sampled between 2020 and 2025, including spur thighed tortoises (Testudo graeca; 127 wild; 63 captive) and Hermanns tortoises (Testudo hermanni; 46 wild; 23 captive). Detection of M. agassizii was performed using PCR. The pathogen was detected in both species, but prevalence patterns differed markedly between captivity status and species. High prevalence was consistently observed in captive individuals of both species. In contrast, wild populations showed species-specific patterns: T. graeca exhibited very low or absent prevalence across wild populations, whereas T. hermanni showed comparatively higher prevalence in the wild. These results provide the first baseline assessment of M. agassizii occurrence in Mediterranean tortoises in Spain and highlight the importance of incorporating pathogen surveillance into conservation and management strategies for European chelonian populations.

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The effect of long-term management on wild pig (Sus scrofa x domesticus) populations across the southeastern United States

Foster, J. R.; Pepin, K.; Miller, R.

2026-04-21 ecology 10.64898/2026.04.16.719012 medRxiv
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O_LIThe management of invasive species often emphasizes removals to manage populations. However, evaluating the success of this management technique remains challenging, especially at large scales. Understanding the relationship between removal intensity and population growth is essential for determining when management achieves desired outcomes. C_LIO_LIWe used management removal data (removal resources [e.g. trapping] and relative effort [trap nights]) to estimate population density, demographic structure, and growth rates of invasive wild pigs (Sus scrofax domesticus) across a large landscape. From the management data and population estimates, we inferred population trajectories in the absence of removals and quantified the proportion of the population removed by the most widely used methods to control wild pigs. We then compared observed removal intensities and population growth rates to predict expected population trajectories immediately after management occurs. C_LIO_LIResults suggest substantial spatial and temporal variation in wild pig growth rates and variation in the effectiveness of removal efforts. Additionally, removing wild pigs at higher densities had a greater effect on limiting population growth than removals conducted at lower densities, though both are important. However, on large properties, removal intensity was often insufficient to offset population growth, indicating that management effort does not scale to large areas. C_LIO_LIThese results demonstrate how removal data and population modeling can provide robust inference on population dynamics and management effectiveness, offering a scalable framework for evaluating and improving invasive species control programs. We also discuss the current limitation of how effort is defined for different large-mammal removal techniques, and offer potential solutions for a more complete definition, such as going beyond trap nights and including constraints on personnel, equipment, and logistics. C_LI

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Pathogenesis of H5N1 Clade 2.3.4.4b in dry Jersey cows following intramammary inoculation shows within-host compartmentalization

Cool, K.; Trujillo, J. D.; Kwon, T.; Singh, G.; Kafle, S.; McDowell, C. D.; Fitz, I.; Elango, S.; Lyoo, E.; Vediyappan, G.; Wei, W.; Machkovech, H. M.; Matias Ferreyra, F.; Wilson, W. C.; Cronk, B.; Morozov, I.; Friedrich, T.; Diel, D.; Gaudreault, N. N.; Richt, J. A.

2026-03-04 microbiology 10.64898/2026.03.04.709389 medRxiv
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Dairy cattle have emerged as a prolific amplifying host for highly pathogenic avian influenza virus (HPAIV) H5N1 clade 2.3.4.4b and a new source for cross-species and zoonotic transmission. Independent introductions of H5N1 with unclear exposure routes have been reported in several dairy herds across the U.S. These events escalate the pandemic potential of HPAIV H5N1 as transmission within and between mammalian species present opportunities for mammalian adapted H5N1 viruses to emerge. Although more than 1000 herds have been infected, bovine H5N1 influenza virus pathogenesis, transmission, and evolution in dairy cattle remains not well characterized. Working with H5N1-infected lactating cattle in high containment has been a major challenge due to the required infrastructure and logistics associated with housing, husbandry, and waste management for this model. Thus, developing alternative bovine models that maintain biological relevance while reducing operational complexity is warranted. Here we evaluate the susceptibility of lactating Jersey cattle in the dry-off period and characterize the effect of inoculation dose on the mammary pathogenicity of HPAIV H5N1 genotype B3.13. The results of this study demonstrate that dairy cows 21 days into the dry-off period are highly susceptible to HPAIV H5N1, recapitulating the severe clinical and pathological outcomes observed in infected lactating cows under experimental conditions and in field cases. We also observed an association between virus dose and the onset and severity of mastitis in individual udder-quarters and compartmentalized clonal expansion of variant populations. Overall, this study demonstrates that dry cows can provide a feasible model to study H5N1 virology, pathology, and humoral immunology in dairy cows.

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Modeling the impact of respiratory disease outbreaks on the United States agricultural workforce

Bardsley, K.; de Pablo, L. X.; Keppler Canada, E.; Ormaza Zulueta, N.; Mehrabi, Z.; Kissler, S. M.

2026-04-02 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.03.31.26349871 medRxiv
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Emerging respiratory disease outbreaks pose a major threat to food production systems. Agricultural workers live in larger, more crowded households than the general population, amplifying their potential exposure to respiratory pathogens, yet the consequences for worker health and food production remain poorly understood. We developed a household-structured susceptible-infectious-recovered (SIR) transmission model to compare disease dynamics between agricultural workers and the general U.S. population across six regions. We simulated outbreaks across a range of epidemiological scenarios and assessed productivity losses in California for three labor-intensive crops (oranges, iceberg lettuce, strawberries) with different harvest seasonalities. For a baseline reproduction number of R0 = 1.5, peak disease prevalence among agricultural workers was 1.23-1.45 times higher than that of the general population across regions, and final outbreak sizes were 1.15-1.28 times higher. Peak productivity losses ranged from 0.50%-0.62% across crops, translating to millions in lost revenue. At higher transmissibility and severity (R0 = 3 and assuming all infections are symptomatic), losses were over 2.5 times higher. Household crowding may lead to disproportionate respiratory disease burden among agricultural workers, highlighting the need for targeted outbreak preparedness and mitigation strategies in the agricultural sector to maintain food system resilience and support public health in these communities.

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How farming practices and livestock management affect Human-Wildlife Conflict intensity in Southern Ecuador: The case of the Spectacled Bear (Tremarctos ornatus) and feral dogs

Lopes, F.; Penaherrera-Aguirre, M.; Cisneros, R.

2026-03-30 ecology 10.64898/2026.03.29.715147 medRxiv
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BackgroundHuman-Wildlife Conflict is emerging as one of the most critical conservation and socio-economic challenges in the Ecuadorian Andes, where both rural livelihoods and native fauna are under increasing pressure. Small-scale livestock producers in the region depend almost entirely on a limited number of cattle, meaning that the loss of even a single animal can lead to severe economic hardship. In response, antagonistic actions against wildlife are frequent, further threatening vulnerable species. At the same time, the recent proliferation of feral dogs adds a new dimension to conflict, posing risks to both livestock and native fauna. Despite the growing severity of this conflict, little is known of its drivers, spatial patterns, and socio-ecological consequences. This study seeks to fill that gap by generating insights to inform targeted conservation strategies for community-based mitigation of conflict with spectacled bears and feral dogs. MethodsTo assess the drivers and dynamics of HWC in southern Ecuador, we conducted structured interviews with livestock owners, quantifying the frequency and intensity of conflicts across multiple species and evaluating whether farm composition and management practices predict conflict patterns. ResultsOur results reveal that large carnivores cause significantly higher economic losses than smaller predators; furthermore, feral dogs have emerged as the primary source of financial damage over the past five years. Farms with a greater proportion of forest edge were associated with a higher probability of severe conflict, particularly with large carnivores. ConclusionsThese findings underscore the urgent need for proactive strategies to promote coexistence. Identifying predictive variables of conflict risk is crucial for vulnerability assessments and the design of effective mitigation policies. Controlling feral dog populations is likely to be a critical step in safeguarding both rural human livelihoods and native biodiversity in the Andean landscape.

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Occupational Risk Profiles for Infectious Disease Transmission in the Philippines: A Data-Driven Clustering Analysis

Bansilan, N. P.; Dy, L. F.; Rabajante, J. F.

2026-05-10 occupational and environmental health 10.64898/2026.05.07.26352625 medRxiv
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Occupational activities play a critical role in shaping patterns of infectious disease transmission, as work-related contact, exposure duration, and environmental conditions vary substantially across jobs. Evidence from infectious disease outbreaks, including tuberculosis and other respiratory infections, shows that occupations involving frequent close contact and crowded settings face elevated exposure risk, highlighting the need for systematic occupational risk assessment to inform public health action. This study adopts a data-driven approach to characterize occupational risk for infectious disease transmission in the Philippine workforce. Using job-specific indicators such as encounter frequency, work shift duration, and crowd density, unsupervised clustering methods were applied to group occupations into distinct risk profiles. Unlike predefined sector-based classifications, this approach identifies latent groupings that capture shared exposure characteristics and socioeconomic context. The resulting clusters reveal a clear gradient in exposure risk across occupations, with high-risk roles often concentrated among jobs with lower to moderate income levels, while lower-risk occupations tend to be associated with higher income and greater structural capacity for risk mitigation. These findings provide a framework for occupational risk stratification that is directly relevant for public health planning. Overall, this study demonstrates the value of integrating occupational and socioeconomic data to support targeted workplace interventions, risk-informed surveillance, and more equitable allocation of public health resources for infectious disease prevention and control in the Philippine context.

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Suspected rabies exposure among animal-bite human cases in Busia district, Uganda: Prevalence, associated factors and delayed post-exposure care-seeking. A cross-sectional study

Wagaba, D.; Nabukenya, I.; Kizza, J.; Unith, H.; Kanyange, A.; Turyahabwe, C.; Kibuuka, H.; Mugisha, D.; Ogola, S. P.; Nabidda, S.; Kisakye, L. K.; Kalyango, J.

2026-06-01 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.05.29.26354408 medRxiv
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Background Rabies is a zoonotic neglected public health problem associated with animal bites, especially domestic carnivores claiming 59,000 deaths annually predominantly in developing countries of Africa and Asia. There is a high risk of exposure among rural communities endemic with animal rabies where adoption of prevention strategies is minimal. This study determined the prevalence of suspected rabies exposure, associated factors, and delayed post-exposure care-seeking among animal-bite human cases in Busia district, Uganda. Methods: This was a cross-sectional study that involved 332 consecutively sampled animal bite human cases that occurred within the period 2023 to 2024. Data for the bite cases from records were collected using a data abstraction tool. In addition, interviewer-administered semi-structured questionnaires were used to collect data on sociodemographic, animal-related and environmental characteristics. Approximate bite locations were collected using Global Positioning System (GPS) coordinates via Kobo collect. Analysis was carried out in STATA 17 using mixed effects modified Poisson regression for factors associated with suspected rabies exposure. Results: The median age of the bite cases was 18 (IQR: 9-36) with the male gender predominantly affected. The prevalence of suspected rabies exposure was 53.6% (95% Confidence interval - CI: 46.8-60.3). Factors associated were urban versus (vs) rural residence (adjusted prevalence ratio-aPR: 1.04, 95%CI: 1.00-1.08), being bitten by a stray animal (aPR: 1.28, 95% CI: 1.22-1.35) and wild animal (aPR: 1.22, 95% CI: 1.14-1.30) vs domestic animal, vaccination status of the biting animal i.e. vaccinated vs unvaccinated (aPR: 0.76, 95% CI: 0.69-0.85), provoked vs unprovoked bites (aPR: 0.82, 95% CI: 0.79-0.86), and distance to nearest river ([&ge;]5km) vs <5km (aPR: 0.93, 95% CI: 0.87-0.99). The prevalence of delayed post-exposure seeking was 23.0% (95% CI: 16.5-31.1) among the suspected rabies exposures. Conclusion: The study reveals a high prevalence of suspected rabies exposure. Factors associated are multidimensional i.e. are of human, animal and environmental origin. The one health paradigm should be emphasized during routine surveillance of rabies-related cases. The study observed that 1 in 5 bite cases delayed to seek care post bite exposure. We recommend collaborations between sectors, routine vaccination and awareness campaigns, and monitoring of wild carnivore populations and environmental dynamics in rabies-related surveillance.

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Geospatial Impact Indexing of Agricultural Incidents: A Multi-Criteria Risk Assessment in the U.S. Midwest

Duran, E.; Mermer, O.; Demir, I.

2026-05-08 occupational and environmental health 10.64898/2026.05.06.26352581 medRxiv
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Traditional agricultural safety assessments often rely on raw incident counts that emphasize exposure but underrepresent outcome severity. This study presents a multi-criteria impact framework to distinguish frequency-driven activity patterns from severity-driven risk across the U.S. Midwest. Agricultural incident records from 2012 to 2023 across seven states were analyzed using descriptive statistics, county-level mapping, and quartic kernel density estimation. Comparative impact indices were constructed using Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and Geometric-Fuzzy AHP weighting schemes to integrate incident frequency, outcome severity, and post-incident survivability. Results indicate that while overall incident frequency is strongly concentrated in northwestern Iowa, reflecting intensive agricultural activity, fatal outcomes exhibit a broader spatial footprint extending across central and northern Iowa and into central-southern Minnesota. Severity-weighted mapping further consolidates northwestern Iowa and the Minnesota-Iowa corridor as dominant high-impact zones. At the regional scale, Geometric-Fuzzy AHP produced consistently lower mean scores and reduced dispersion than AHP, yielding smoother spatial gradients while preserving the primary hotspot structure. These findings demonstrate that frequency-based mapping alone fails to capture the multi-dimensional nature of agricultural risk. By explicitly linking incident locations with survival infrastructure, this research provides an evidence-based framework for targeting safety interventions and improving rural emergency medical service planning.

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Characterisation of novel bacteriophages against the cattle pathogen Moraxella bovis

Sampson, H. R.; Wegrzyn, M.; Josephs, T.; Ugokwe, N. I.; Kinsella, A.; Thanki, A. M.; Kalra, D. K.; Roux, A.; Patrick, H. L.; Swift, B. M.; Firth, G.; Odedra, R.; Millard, A. D.; Clokie, M. R.

2026-05-04 microbiology 10.1101/2025.11.24.690234 medRxiv
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BackgroundInfectious bovine keratoconjunctivitis is the most important cattle ocular disease worldwide. The infection is primarily caused by Moraxella bovis and is a highly contagious disease that significantly affects cattle welfare. Currently, antibiotic medication is the primary treatment for infectious bovine keratoconjunctivitis. However, with rising concerns over antibiotic resistance, we propose developing a more targeted therapeutic strategy using bacteriophages (phages). Materials and MethodsWe have isolated the first known Moraxella bovis phages, characterised them according to their genome sequence, local virulence index and with transmission electron microscopy. The host ranges were assessed using 41 clinical M. bovis strains isolated from infected cows. ResultsFour phages were isolated and characterised. Comparative analysis identified a high degree of genomic similarity between the phages MB15, MB16, MB26 and MB43. MB43 was the most distinct, with the smallest host range phenotype. ConclusionsThe isolated phages show therapeutic potential for further development against Moraxella infections.